The Survivor 50 Tribe swap will change EVERYTHING!

0:00 They did They didn't do no favors doing Island of Idols this season. [laughter] Two seasons before that where they literally made a statue of Boston Rob Mariano. >> Mount Rushmore, yeah. Yeah, like him and Sandra at that time was seen as like the best male and female character of all time or best players. Like that None of that stuff did him any favors going into that season in my mind. So, I like him, you know. she made it to the final five in Big Brother as well. So, there you go. So, phenomenal player. Phenomenal player. Is there anything else that we've missed? I feel like the bag search was fun. We talked about that very briefly. I don't think there's anything else. >> the new tribes? Cuz I don't know the This will be news for me. I wasn't really paying attention to much of the Yeah, so all of this is actually not spoiler like I said. So, they did show this on the preview. So, here's the new tribes. You've got all the different tribes.

0:50 You've got Charlie, Dee, Jonathan, and Kamilla for teal together and new orange, right? in that dynamic, I don't know who's working with who because Kamilla and Dee's got an alliance. I guess there's two people there. Cirie and Devons have got an alliance. There's two people there. Ris God seems like he's the odd one out, but I think I like this for Ris God in a way because he could be that guy that people want to work with. Savannah's out of the game, which helps his game. He doesn't have any attachments coming into this tribe. My feeling here is that you're probably going to see teal stick together. Like Charlie will probably go as go where the numbers are. Cirie and Devons could be in a tight spot here. But, Cirie's got the extra vote. Devons has got the fake idol. Will he play it immediately at the next Tribal Council if they go to Tribal Council? It's possible. Yeah. We don't know any of teal's sort of social dynamics.

1:43 All we know is that Dee is have been a bit has a bit of a target on her back. But, I mean like Yeah. And like Okay, well, it looks like Devon Cirie has already gotten to the ear of Devon. So, they're going to vote together for sure. They're probably going to pull in Ris Rizo. So, that looks like that looks like a three. And we don't know anything about what happened on that side. >> Yeah, so I mean they already have the power. Oh, no, not the power, but they'll be like they'll be four. I don't think Cirie would play it. I think Cirie is too good to play it, and she would probably bring in someone like Jonathan, and then >> I think Jonathan will vote for D. Yeah, to get out D. >> But here's my here's my here's my thing though, is this worse for Jonathan in this situation? Because Cirie loves playing with strong women. Mhm. D is a strong woman. She's not intimidated by playing with like D is literally we said is she the new age era poverty?

2:36 You know, so I don't I don't think Yeah, no, I don't think it's that Cirie likes to play with strong women. I think Cirie will play in the position that helps her the most. so, whether or not it's aligning with Ozzy, whether or not it's aligning with poverty, whether or not it's aligning I don't know who she was aligning with in Heroes vs. Villains. That obviously didn't work out too well for her. And she was very famous being on the record saying it didn't work for me last time. I'm not going to do it necessarily again. I see Cirie bringing in Jonathan. Like to be honest, Cirie Rick Rizo brings in Jonathan They know that Jonathan's going to be targeting D, and just he who else will try to like vote her out. She's an easy target. So, that's what I think may happen. I could be completely wrong. >> And that puts Kamala on the outs as well with Charlie. It would explain why Kamala and Charlie and D have had very low key alliances so far.

3:27 That's why we've seen Jonathan. We haven't seen anyone else. Yeah. Mhm. Okay. I agree with you that. so, let's go over to the new teal tribe. Very interesting dynamic here with Aubry, Colby, and Genevieve coming from the same purple tribe to begin with. They are joined by Chrissy, Coach, and Turf, and then the wild card a very wild Joe Hunter appears in the middle of nowhere. Let's not forget Colby does not have a vote. So, that means that purple only has two votes here versus the three of teal and then Joe in the middle, but in this spot, I feel the most fearful at this stage probably for I feel like Genevieve because Aubry's got an idol. Colby and Coach, I feel like we'll have an unspoken thing and they'll work together. In the first episode when Coach and Colby went to their separate tribes, you could see Coach and Colby talking and Colby says to him, and I remember this specifically cuz I was on the Colby Coach watch.

4:24 He says, "I'll see you on the other side, brother." You know, so I feel like I feel like there is a connection. They spent time together on Ponderosa at Heroes vs. Villains. They've definitely spent time outside of Survivor. They're both old school players. They don't want the old school players to do bad. A few people are calling Colby out as being in a bad position. I don't think he is. I think he's okay. Genevieve and Aubry and potentially Joe, but I could see Coach, Colby, and Joe working together. This whole honor and integrity old school kind of gameplay, this might be a really good tribe for Joe to fall into. Yeah, so I think that I think Tiffany's gone for this. Like we haven't seen Tiffany at all. There's no way that she's sort of making it that far. they'll probably try to target Aubry. The she may play the idol and might ricochet back onto Tiffany. I think that what my watch out is on Coach and Joe and see how Coach and Joe play with each other because I think Joe is what Coach thinks that he is.

5:24 So, Joe is a real deal when it comes to honor and integrity. Coach is a pretender. He thinks he's about honor and integrity, but he's the opposite of that whatsoever. And I think that maybe Joe might call him out on it. So, that's going to be a very fascinating dynamic. I think Genevieve is going far. She's a very powerful player in my opinion. And like I was mentioning earlier, I just found it a little bit strange that Chrissy has had a big like maybe this 2-minute long sort of montage about her. I think she's going to probably go quite deep as well. So, I do think that it's sort of going to be a target on Aubry with secondary target on Tiffany. I just don't see how Think about the personalities in this tribe, right? Coach and Colby, I think will work together. I'm calling it. Genevieve and Chrissy could easily work together. I feel like there would be good synergy between the two of those. Aubry still kind of on an island of her own, but maybe she finds some comforting here being one of the three in the purple tribe that comes into the tribe here.

6:19 I'm uncertain. So, the big question mark for me in this tribe currently, if you agree, probably a Joe or a Tiff and maybe an Aubry as if she doesn't play her idol. She might feel safe. Yes. Yes. I just With Joe's the biggest X factor here. And we've seen how Joe plays. He's been playing this season. He played his season. I think Joe is the center of gravity in this tribe. And for some reason, people just seem so unwilling to vote him out. I don't know why. I don't get it. They want to play around him. And I think my theory is that with Joe, even though he's a little bit strange sometimes, he's very predictable. You know that he's all about whatever he says. And people can play around him. So, I think that there's going to be some sort of really interesting dynamic here where someone like Coach, Colby doesn't really matter as much.

7:09 He doesn't have a vote, but let's bring him in as well. And then someone like Genevieve is going to be super smart and say, "Look, I'm just going to attach myself to Joe." Like she's a game player. She knows how to She has She has like She's a similar player to Kamilla, right? Where she can sort of attach herself to Joe in a certain way and just say, "Joe, what who do you want gone?" All right, I'm going to vote for vote for Joe once gone, right? And then Coach will probably latch onto that, too. And that's already three votes. I just feel like in this tribe dynamic, the easy vote could be like if Coach and Chrissy and Tiff, cuz I don't know where Tiff sits in this whole alliance thing. Like where is Tiff? Like what is the Like we said the social dynamics doesn't fully It's not fully explained to us coming into this. >> Well, Tiff was in an alliance with D and Kamilla. And they're all both on the other side. So, she seems to be she's without her alliance and she seems to be the opposing force from like I didn't see Chrissy or Coach saying anything bad about each other.

8:06 And well, I didn't think we saw any of their relationship. >> to work with Coach. Chrissy wanted to work with Coach. She was in the water with >> braiding his hair. I think yeah. I think she was She was braiding his hair as well. So, I think obviously they're in some sort of alliance. We haven't seen too much of it. But I think the editors put that in specifically for this type of situation. So, those are probably a package deal. And then yeah, then Joe and Genevieve is the interesting one. I think those are the two that matter to be honest. And they might be working against each other or maybe they're working together. We don't know anything about that relationship. So, it's going to be an interesting one. Love the tribes. Love the fact that it's balanced coming into this. So, we've got tribes of seven now moving forward. I think it's the perfect time for the swap to happen as well because you run the risk of that tribe that just keeps losing the whole time losing their players like we see in so many seasons. So, let's shake it up a little bit. So, we go to purple here.

8:57 And this one's quite interesting. Christian and Emily remains in the same tribe. you know, Ozzy is there as well. I don't know I think Ozzy will stay pretty loyal to those two as well. Like he's just I don't see Ozzy moving here maybe to another We also have to remember Ozzy and Q have that night in exile together. So, Q might have that connection with Ozzy there that he can work with him and then Mike White the odd one out in this one. Does Mike White become the easy target here Andre? You know, Mike White >> Mike White is a Joe of this of this tribe. I think he's a center of gravity and everybody's going to want his vote in my opinion. Does everybody on this tribe have a vote? Well, let's not forget there's so many connections here. You've got Mike White, Angelina and Christian who all played together in the same tribe. So, there will definitely be some sort of potential loyalty or potential of working together.

9:47 So, that's three people in a seven-person tribe. Then, you've got Emily. So you've actually got the power alliance there. You've got Emily, Christian, Angelina, and Mike. They'll work together most likely in this next vote. Then, you've got Ozzy, Q, and Stephanie on the outer. And I'm a little bit worried for Stephanie and Q in this moment. Like, I feel like if this tribe goes, there's a big chance that one of them will go. And probably Stephanie would be seen as the expendable one. Biggest winner in this specific tribe is Angelina cuz she was a statue in her previous tribe. Now, she's potentially got some agency. She can potentially influence the game with players that she's already played with. So, I think they might target Ozzy. Like, Ozzy's the clear target in my opinion. I don't think they're going to want to go for an expendable one, but what putting it out there, you know, those four target Ozzy.

10:39 They don't know that Ozzy has an idol. Like, does anybody Did Genevieve tell anybody? Did Genevieve tell Angelina? >> Q knows. Or Stephanie? Q knows. I think Q might know. So if Q wants to be an agent of chaos, he supports that plan so that Genevieve gets an idol. Yes. Or no, what you could do is if you're Q, you try to latch onto that four, tell them to target Ozzy. Tell Ozzy play your idol, and then it ricochets back on someone like Angelina. I mean, if they were smart, you'd get rid of Christian. Christian's the biggest threat here, but nobody's going to get rid of Christian, right? So, you might want to defang sort of that side by just getting rid of one of them. I mean, there's a lot of room to play here. Like, I think there's a lot that could happen. I mean, nobody knows what Stephanie's up to here, either. yeah, I think I think Mike is definitely not in trouble.

11:29 I don't I Mike is at all. I think Emily's going to want to work Everyone's going to work want to work with Mike, to be honest. I see This is quite interesting, actually. So, Jay bringing up your watch out for Ozzy versus Emily since Emily keeps saying she wants Ozzy out. And then, Christian Gall says here, "Stephanie knows about" So, Stephanie definitely knows about the Ozzy idol because Stephanie was in that inner circle with Genevieve and Colby. And Stephanie's a great game player, right? So, I've kind of faith in Stephanie saying, "Q, Ozzy, Emily, let's stick together. Let's take control of this tribe." Ozzy There's the old school connection, too. Mhm. They've got a connection. >> Q has seemed old school, too, as well. Like, I don't know why, but he's been playing like an old school. He's been talking about, "Oh, lazy people in the cab." It just seems like even though he's in the new era, it feels like he's from the old school. Yeah. [laughter] It's like, you never know what you can get with Q when he comes back and plays.

12:23 Like, the third time he plays, he might play completely different again. Like, I don't even think That's what I love about him. Q himself doesn't know how he's going to play the game when he comes into these games. It's so funny seeing him. He's like a He's like the shapeshifter of Survivor. That should be his nickname. Like, Q the shapeshifter. Yeah. he just sort of >> is Does Q and Stephanie Do they tell Ozzy that it is a boomerang idol? Or do they tell Do they probably do tell him that Genevieve gave him the idol. Do they tell Ozzy that it's a boomerang idol? Probably not. They'll probably say >> Yeah. I think they'll have more morals than that. They'll be I think it's going to be a fascinating if they do end up going to Tribal Council. It'll be fascinating cuz I feel like there's those two There's a clear divide there in my in my eyes. And the one side has an idol. So, it's a classic the minor- minority can actually maybe take control of this if they play their hands right. And but who knows? Maybe Stephanie would just want nothing to do with Q or Ozzy.

13:15 Who knows? And remember, Q doesn't have a vote. All right. >> It doesn't It doesn't [laughter] matter. So, it wouldn't It wouldn't matter in that situation, right? If they don't have the if their only way of go going forward is for Ozzy to play it himself and try to get Emily to target Ozzy. Which it doesn't seem like it's going to be a problem and it doesn't seem like as long as Angelina doesn't know that Ozzy has the idol cuz she was on gen and I don't think they did tell Angelina. So it actually lines up pretty perfectly. Still a bit of an Ozzy blindside where you know, Ozzy can easily play his idol in this situation. I think it will go come out roses. I can see it. Chrissy says they are going to be a ton of split the tribe into two groups and each group votes someone out. So I hope she doesn't mean like the merge scenario where it's like literally one half of the tribe is safe and the other half of the tribe has to go vote.

14:12 Yeah. Exile lost fire heroes is idoled out by plurality vote game changers advantage get on no votes. So yeah, so >> And Australian Survivor she was fire she was she went to fire, right? She lost fire? Yeah. If I remember correctly, yeah. She's never been voted out. That's crazy. That is crazy. Ozzy got an idol. Watch out for Ozzy versus Emily. We've seen that one. Stephanie wants meat shields. I can see that. She'll want Q. She'll want potentially Ozzy around. I do wonder if Ozzy and Coach squashed their beef before they leave the game because I saw a post game interview where Ozzy said Coach was different person this time. So when is the 180?